In early August, the US dollar once again reared its head, surging across financial boards that saw the Euro slump to a five month low against the greenback and the pound, a 17 month low.
As the global slowdown took its toll on other major currencies, the Australian dollar fell by 1% and 2% was sliced off the value of the Kiwi dollar. New Zealand's Treasury admitted that the nation was in recession; the second country in the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development to slip into the black hole this year after Denmark. In Australia, the Reserve Bank has switched from consistently raising rates to suggesting that now is the time for cuts.
Although the two countries appear to be satisfied with the levels of people in employment, both Australia and New Zealand are screaming skills shortages.
John Green, Managing Director of AustCorp Recruitment, which specializes in senior appointments in Australia, gave his view on the current situation.
Australia's economy seems likely to follow the downturn currently being experienced in the US and UK, said John. The Global Credit Crunch Crisis seems to have eventually reached us all the way over here. Inflation is rising too quickly and since the fall of house prices in the US, Sydney now has the most expensive/unaffordable housing in the world with the average Sydney home costing more than eight times the average Sydney wage.
The economists have been expecting job rates to fall with many businesses making cutbacks and bracing for the inevitable slow down. However, August's job creation figures showed a surprise increase in the number of jobs advertised.
In Australia we are in a unique position. The resources boom seems likely to carry us through the tough times ahead. The result of this is an abundance of jobs in the mining industry. There really is a serious shortage of suitable experienced and qualified people available.
Qantas have said that it intends to lose 1,500 members of its workforce. Starbucks, the world's largest chain of coffee shops, said that it will close three-quarters of its 84 Australian stores. In contrast, Western Australia's booming mining industry will need an additional 86,000 workers over the next 12 years.
The Mineral's Council of Australia predicts that jobs in the industry will rise from their current level of 128,000 to 215,000 in 2020. The Labour Force Outlook in the Australian Minerals Sector 2008-2020 report details six of nine Level 1 Australian Standard Occupational Categories (ASCO,) that will represent the majority of employees in Australian mines. Those cover managers and administrators, professionals, associate professionals, tradespersons and related workers, intermediate production and transport workers plus labourers and other related workers. It forecasts that the total number of people in Australia overall in these categories will grow by a million persons by 2020. It further notes that the two fastest growing categories will be at managerial and associate professional levels.
However, mining is by no means the only sector in which Australia is feeling the pressure. Serious recruitment shortages have been noted in accounting, credit control and business analysis. And Peter Taylor, Chief Executive of Engineering Australia has warned that the country is facing an increasing shortage of qualified engineers. According to Mr Taylor, the number of engineers for the various sectors halved between 2001 and 2006 and from analysis made, he deduces that there is a current shortfall of 28,000 engineers.
Whichever way we look at the numbers, we come inevitably to the conclusion that Australia, like many other developed countries, has taken its eye off the engineering ball, he said.
John Green brings an additional slant to those sentiments and adds: The new Rudd Government have this year announced that the development of infrastructure projects is crucial to cope with Australia's rapidly expanding population. They are dedicating billions of dollars to roads, highways, rail, power, water and internet expansion projects. The main concern faced at the moment is who will run these projects. There is a huge shortage of Senior Construction Managers, Project Managers and Project Directors to run these projects.
The Department of Immigration has also had a recent shake up making it easier for engineering and construction companies to employ key people from overseas,” he continued. The Government recognizes that the skills and labour shortages are further exaggerating the economic pressures from inflation with salaries at an all time high due to the lack of competition in the job markets. There has been an increased allocation of 6000 more visas made available by the Department of Immigration in this financial year alone.
The situation in New Zealand is slightly stranger. According to a survey by international recruiter, Manpower, New Zealand has the lowest unemployment rate on record which has created a tight labour market and a strong need for skilled workers. Which may be true, but the country has also seen the greatest exodus of skilled workers, ironically to Australia, leaving New Zealand with severe skills shortages.
Clayton Cosgrove, Minister of Immigration for New Zealand said: “Immigration is a vital ingredient in New Zealand's ongoing economic development. Migrants drive innovation, give our business international connections and provide a range of skills to transform our economic landscape.
At another point in his speech at the Immigration Law Conference 2008 in Auckland, he said: Immigration is also about opening the door to the people we want and need. And added that changes in the new Immigration Bill would allow exceptions to residence policy to be delegated.
Giving the hypothetical example of a radiologist who was a year over the acceptable age limit, applying to settle in an area where there was a dire shortage, he indicated that the normal rules could be waived.
In this case, the person would be of obvious benefit as one of those migrants we want and need he said. I shouldn't need to make the decision that it is acceptable to grant a resident visa in this case. The change in the Bill will help cut through the red tape in situations like these to bring benefits to all New Zealanders.
In the engineering sector, New Zealand needs an array of skills including civil, mechanical, chemical and electrical engineers. Biotechnology is rated as being one of the fastest growing sectors and yet there is a dearth of scientists.
In recent years, the construction industry has concentrated on residential projects but has now been expanded as New Zealand focuses on its basic infrastructure, with funds being directed towards the building of schools, hospitals and improving transport and road networks.
In the field of healthcare, there is desperate need for nurses, radiologists and general practitioners while the growing multimedia industry is crying out for people to swell its ranks.
Information communications technology (ICT) is a broad discipline that is growing in both Australia and New Zealand but is suffering from a lack of people who have the technical skills and high level capabilities in communications and marketing. The ICT sector in New Zealand has been issued a challenge by the government to raise its current contribution of 4% to the GDP to 10% by 2012, supported by the High Growth project. Government forecasts have predicted that the levels of employment in ICT will rise to 125,000 in 2012, compared to the current level of approximately 41,000 people.
Australia and New Zealand are both competing for skilled professionals to migrate to their shores and continue to have Expos in two targeted areas, namely the UK and South Africa.
In a message through the Go West Now initiative, the premier of Australia, the Hon Alan Carpenter said, referring to the country’s AU$21.6bn worth of projects currently under construction in Western Australia: The only downside to all of this is that we are seriously short of skilled workers to build and operate these world class projects.
More than 178,000 people have migrated from the UK to Australia since 2001 Immigration Department statistics